CALCULATIONS USING CURRENT ESTIMATIONS FOR THE NORTH KOSCIUSZKO AREA

Author- Joanne Canning, BSc Equine Sports Science, HND Equine Sports Coaching, BHSII

Analysis of Aerial Counts for 2014-2019 figures

2014 3255

2019 15,687

Without accounting for removals

Year

Start population

Increase at 37%

End Population

2014

3255

1204

4459

2015

4459

1650

6109

2016

6109

2260

8369

2017

8369

3097

11466

2018

11466

4242

15708

2019

15708

 

 

 

 

This has NOT taken into account removals by the Park, so the estimated annual population increase figure when taking these removals into account would be approx 41%

 

 

CALCULATIONS STARTING WITH SURVEY NUMBERS OF MONTAGUE DRAKE (2005) NORTH KOSCIUSZKO AREA AND ADDING A REALISTIC MAXIMUM INCREASE OF 17% AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT REMOVALS.

 

Year

Start Population

Increase at 17%

Removals

End Population

2005

1120

190

0

1310

2006

1310

223

27

1506

2007

1506

256

45

1717

2008

1717

292

13

1996

2009

1996

339

251

2084

2010

2084

354

260

2179

2011

2179

370

616

1933

2012

1933

329

541

1721

2013

1721

293

218

1795

2014

1795

305

372

1729

2015

1729

294

122

1901

2016

1901

323

210

2014

2017

2014

342

150

2206

2018

2206

375

0

2581

2019

2581

438

100

2919

Bushfire

2919

Loss 35%

-1021

1898

2020

1898

322

450

1770

 

 

 

 

CALCULATIONS STARTING WITH SURVEY NUMBERS OF MONTAGUE DRAKE (2005) KOSCIUSZKO PARK TOTAL AND ADDING A REALISTIC MAXIMUM INCREASE OF 17% AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT REMOVALS

 

Year

Start Population

Increase at 17%

Removals

End Population

2005

1710

291

32

1969

2006

1969

335

115

2188

2007

2188

372

131

2429

2008

2429

413

96

2746

2009

2746

467

358

2855

2010

2855

485

307

3034

2011

3034

516

658

2891

2012

2891

292

587

2796

2013

2796

475

287

2984

2014

2984

507

389

3103

2015

3103

527

122

3508

2016

3508

596

210

3894

2017

3894

662

150

4406

2018

4406

749

0

5156

2019

5156

876

100

5932

Bushfires

5932

Loss 35%

2076

3856

2020

3856

655

450

4061