CALCULATIONS USING CURRENT ESTIMATIONS FOR THE
NORTH KOSCIUSZKO AREA
Author-
Joanne Canning, BSc Equine Sports Science, HND Equine Sports Coaching, BHSII
Analysis of Aerial Counts for 2014-2019 figures
2014 – 3255
2019 – 15,687
Without accounting for removals
|
Year |
Start population |
Increase at 37% |
End Population |
|
2014 |
3255 |
1204 |
4459 |
|
2015 |
4459 |
1650 |
6109 |
|
2016 |
6109 |
2260 |
8369 |
|
2017 |
8369 |
3097 |
11466 |
|
2018 |
11466 |
4242 |
15708 |
|
2019 |
15708 |
|
|
This has NOT taken into
account removals by the Park, so the estimated annual population increase
figure when taking these removals into account would be approx 41%
CALCULATIONS STARTING WITH SURVEY NUMBERS OF
MONTAGUE DRAKE (2005) – NORTH KOSCIUSZKO AREA AND ADDING A REALISTIC MAXIMUM
INCREASE OF 17% AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT
REMOVALS.
|
Year |
Start
Population |
Increase
at 17% |
Removals |
End
Population |
|
2005 |
1120 |
190 |
0 |
1310 |
|
2006 |
1310 |
223 |
27 |
1506 |
|
2007 |
1506 |
256 |
45 |
1717 |
|
2008 |
1717 |
292 |
13 |
1996 |
|
2009 |
1996 |
339 |
251 |
2084 |
|
2010 |
2084 |
354 |
260 |
2179 |
|
2011 |
2179 |
370 |
616 |
1933 |
|
2012 |
1933 |
329 |
541 |
1721 |
|
2013 |
1721 |
293 |
218 |
1795 |
|
2014 |
1795 |
305 |
372 |
1729 |
|
2015 |
1729 |
294 |
122 |
1901 |
|
2016 |
1901 |
323 |
210 |
2014 |
|
2017 |
2014 |
342 |
150 |
2206 |
|
2018 |
2206 |
375 |
0 |
2581 |
|
2019 |
2581 |
438 |
100 |
2919 |
|
Bushfire |
2919 |
Loss
35% |
-1021 |
1898 |
|
2020 |
1898 |
322 |
450 |
1770 |
CALCULATIONS STARTING WITH SURVEY NUMBERS OF
MONTAGUE DRAKE (2005) – KOSCIUSZKO PARK TOTAL AND ADDING A REALISTIC MAXIMUM
INCREASE OF 17% AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT REMOVALS
|
Year |
Start
Population |
Increase
at 17% |
Removals |
End
Population |
|
2005 |
1710 |
291 |
32 |
1969 |
|
2006 |
1969 |
335 |
115 |
2188 |
|
2007 |
2188 |
372 |
131 |
2429 |
|
2008 |
2429 |
413 |
96 |
2746 |
|
2009 |
2746 |
467 |
358 |
2855 |
|
2010 |
2855 |
485 |
307 |
3034 |
|
2011 |
3034 |
516 |
658 |
2891 |
|
2012 |
2891 |
292 |
587 |
2796 |
|
2013 |
2796 |
475 |
287 |
2984 |
|
2014 |
2984 |
507 |
389 |
3103 |
|
2015 |
3103 |
527 |
122 |
3508 |
|
2016 |
3508 |
596 |
210 |
3894 |
|
2017 |
3894 |
662 |
150 |
4406 |
|
2018 |
4406 |
749 |
0 |
5156 |
|
2019 |
5156 |
876 |
100 |
5932 |
|
Bushfires |
5932 |
Loss 35% |
2076 |
3856 |
|
2020 |
3856 |
655 |
450 |
4061 |